The Best Actress category may be easy to penetrate, but the Best Actor slot is still a tight squeeze. Wait, what? You all have dirty minds. Here are the likely nominees, you pervs:

SURE LOCKS
 Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
 Sean Penn, Milk

Mickey Rourke and Sean Penn have been two of the biggest no-brainers (hey, take that however you want!) since this Oscar season began. Winner gets Bai Ling! Or is that what the loser gets?

LIKELY NOMINEES
 Clint Eastwood, Gran Torino
 Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
 Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Old folks, plus old folks with Brad Pitt's face digitally superimposed on them. Pitt would be the likeliest to fall to a surging dark horse; some call this performance his best and most expansive yet, while others find it too recessive to reward.

DARK HORSES
 Leonardo DiCaprio, Revolutionary Road
 Richard Jenkins, The Visitor

Revolutionary Road's hopes at this point lay entirely on Kate Winslet, so Leonardo DiCaprio's as doomed as his character. Richard Jenkins could surge in for the inexplicably well-liked The Visitor, but his performance is about as subtle and reactive as Pitt's. If Jenkins could promise Angelina Jolie as his date, that would probably help.