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A little chart in which top-ranked Best Picture Oscar contenders are cross-referenced with most recent "stock" sale price at Intrade, cross-referenced by number of screens on which the film will play on December 31st, 2004 (as per Box Office Mojo). The number in parentheses after the movie title represents Entertainment Weekly writer Dave Karger's ranking for inclusion in the Best Picture race, because he's both pretty and stupid, just the way we like our men. His number 5 choice, Eternal Sunshine, didn't make our list because we'll eat Dave's sweaty shirt if it makes the Academy's.

FilmSell PriceScreens
Aviator (4)421796
Million Dollar Baby339
Sideways (2)10.9373
Finding Neverland (1)9.41054
Ray312343
Hotel Rwanda2.27
Life Aquatic2.01105
Closer (3)1.81094
Motorcycle Diaries.793
National Treasure.52282
A Very Long Engagement.4167