Democrats will lose two or three Senate seats. Like North Dakota. But they will also maybe pick up a Republican seat or two. That is the state of the Democratic catastrophe you keep reading about.

No, not Jakob Lodwick. (Give him time.) But Harold Ford, Jr.! Ford is planning a run against appointed New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand, and he has the backing of New York's richest Democratic donors.

Hot naked Cosmo pinup Scott Brown, the Republican candidate for Senate from Massachusetts, is only down nine points in the polls! (According to GOP-friendly Rasmussen.)

Democrat Bill Owens originally had a 5,000 vote lead over Hoffman. That vote shrank to 3,000. There are 5,800 of absentee votes left to count! And though Hoffman would need to win 75% of those votes, and though presumably many of those votes were cast before Republican Dede Scozzafava withdrew from the race (and endorsed Owens), Hoffman has decided that his concession was premature. Well, Glenn Beck decided that Hoffman's concession was premature. And Hoffman just does whatever Glenn Beck says. Because he is a true conservative.

Today in "what on earth is Sarah Palin talking about": is John McCain responsible for all those legal debts she accrued that forced her to stop governing Alaska and instead write a steamy political romance-thriller?

It's basically a given that the president's party will lose seats after his first midterm (except when 9/11 happens). So let's not get our hopes up. But Republicans really wanna try to prove that bit of conventional wisdom wrong.

Ben Smith followed Mike Huckabee around for a while as he sold his new Christmas book.

This should surprise no one but Obama's campaign organization, which has swallowed the DNC, failed to do any organizing for the Maine gay marriage vote, though it did email Maine volunteers asking them to make calls for Jon Corzine.

First of all: two awesome TV ads. Governor Paterson looks so much more professional clean-shaven, right? We miss the mustache though. The first ad is all "I never asked to be governor and also I have too won some political victories" and the second one is mostly "look, you don't actually know anything about this man, so we will tell you that he was very smart and went to Columbia and stuff."

Hah, the Republican pagan won in Queens. Breaking! What does that say about the mood of the electorate, exactly? (That they dislike Asians, maybe?)

We told you about Mike, and about The Gays, but there were a couple other elections that news people are talking about today. These were, obviously, early referenda on Barack Obama, and he lost.

Congratulations to the National Organization For Marriage, a group dedicated to making sure a large segment of the population cannot get married, on their successful campaign to scare people in Maine.

Brilliant executive, richest man in town, and beloved mayor-for-life Mike Bloomberg joins Ed Koch, Fiorello LaGuardia, and Robert Wagner (not the actor) in the third-termers massive failure lame duck mayor club!

The only race tomorrow that will have anything to do with national political trends is a tiny congressional district in upstate New York. But there are other races that everyone will talk about as if they mean something.

Tomorrow is Election Day! You will probably not vote, because there are no contested races for anything important in 90% of the nation. But if you are a New Yorker, we have one message: don't vote for Michael Bloomberg.

A grown man who is currently reenacting the Battle of Trenton on Twitter thinks he could be president in 2012.

Rudy Giuliani is trying to stoke paranoid fears of something here, in this talk before some ultra-Orthodox Jews, with Mike Bloomberg, but... what? "You know exactly what I'm talking about," Rudy said.

Gosh, will Hillary run for president again or what? Anyone know? Has anyone asked her? She really wanted to be president, didn't she? Someone should probably ask her if she still wants to be president. Oh, Ann Curry?

New York City's primary election is today! As in, right now! And for most offices in this town, this is the de facto general election. Polls close at 9pm, so you even have time to hit happy hour beforehand.

With 10% of the votes counted, the presidential election race between Hamid Karzai and Abdullah Abdullah is too close to call. Karzai leads by about 10,000 votes. But what should you think about it?